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Segunda Nueva Zelanda. Continente, Matchday 10

Selwyn United vs Ferrymead Bays analysis

Selwyn United Ferrymead Bays
8 ELO 10
1% Tilt 87%
8508º General ELO ranking 7925º
127º Country ELO ranking 120º
ELO win probability
29%
Selwyn United
22.3%
Draw
48.7%
Ferrymead Bays

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
Selwyn United
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
48.7%
Win probability
Ferrymead Bays
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Selwyn United
+23%
-10%
Ferrymead Bays

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cashmere Technical
35
35
100%
Coastal Spirit
28
28
100%
Christchurch United
24
24
100%
Nelson Suburbs
21
21
100%
Selwyn United
18
18
50%
Nomads Utd
18
18
50%
Ferrymead Bays
15
15
100%
Halswell United FC
1
1
100%
Expected probabilities
Selwyn United
Ferrymead Bays
Next phase
50% 0%
Mid-table
50% 100%

ELO progression

Ferrymead Bays
FER
Selwyn United
SUF
Christchurch United
CHR
Nelson Suburbs
NSF
Rangers AFC
AFC
Cashmere Technical
CAS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Selwyn United
Selwyn United
1%
X%
2%
ELO SUF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 May. 2021
CHR
Christchurch United
3 - 3
Selwyn United
SUF
45%
27%
28%
136 150 14 0
15 May. 2021
HAL
Halswell United FC
2 - 3
Selwyn United
SUF
45%
27%
28%
134 146 12 +2
08 May. 2021
CAS
Cashmere Technical
4 - 2
Selwyn United
SUF
47%
27%
26%
135 239 104 -1
01 May. 2021
NOM
Nomads Utd
1 - 0
Selwyn United
SUF
45%
27%
28%
136 157 21 -1
24 Apr. 2021
SUF
Selwyn United
1 - 3
Coastal Spirit
COA
45%
27%
28%
137 170 -33 -1

Matches

Ferrymead Bays
Ferrymead Bays
1%
X%
2%
ELO FER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2021
FER
Ferrymead Bays
3 - 2
Nomads Utd
NOM
46%
27%
27%
156 157 -1 +1
15 May. 2021
FER
Ferrymead Bays
3 - 1
Nomads Utd
NOM
46%
27%
27%
153 159 -6 +3
09 May. 2021
COA
Coastal Spirit
4 - 0
Ferrymead Bays
FER
45%
27%
28%
155 172 17 -2
01 May. 2021
HAL
Halswell United FC
1 - 2
Ferrymead Bays
FER
46%
27%
27%
154 147 -7 +1
24 Apr. 2021
FER
Ferrymead Bays
0 - 2
Nelson Suburbs
NSF
45%
27%
28%
155 204 -49 -1