Selston vs Heanor Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
81.1%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
11%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.5%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SEL
0 - 4
SHC
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WIS
2 - 3
SEL
66%
18%
16%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
SEL
0 - 2
QUO
11%
16%
73%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
SEL
0 - 2
LOU
7%
14%
79%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PIU
5 - 0
SEL
59%
20%
21%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Heanor Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HEA
1 - 1
HEA
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HEA
0 - 3
KMW
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
ECF
0 - 4
HEA
9%
14%
77%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DEE
5 - 3
HEA
25%
21%
54%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
HEA
3 - 3
MAN
83%
12%
6%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |