Selongey vs Thiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selongey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SEN
3 - 1
SEL
22%
21%
57%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SEL
1 - 2
BFC
47%
23%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
DIJ
0 - 1
SEL
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SEL
2 - 2
AND
29%
27%
45%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
PON
2 - 0
SEL
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Thiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
THI
1 - 1
BRC
15%
21%
65%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BOU
2 - 0
THI
70%
18%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
THI
2 - 2
CLE
16%
22%
62%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SAI
1 - 1
THI
74%
17%
8%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
THI
1 - 1
FCG
22%
25%
53%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |