Selfoss vs Thór analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
41.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selfoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
FYL
2 - 0
SEL
59%
21%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
SEL
2 - 1
GRI
51%
22%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
SEL
4 - 0
HAU
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
IHH
2 - 5
SEL
21%
19%
59%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SEL
1 - 1
IBV
28%
22%
51%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Thór
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
LEI
1 - 4
THO
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
THO
1 - 1
HKK
51%
23%
25%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
THO
3 - 1
REY
37%
24%
40%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
THO
7 - 0
MAG
75%
15%
10%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
THO
2 - 2
FHH
28%
23%
49%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |