Yugoslavia vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1990 |
NIR
0 - 2
YUG
27%
28%
45%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1990 |
YUG
0 - 0
ARG
62%
21%
17%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1990 |
ESP
1 - 2
YUG
55%
24%
21%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1990 |
YUG
4 - 1
ARE
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1990 |
YUG
1 - 0
COL
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1990 |
FRO
1 - 0
AUT
8%
19%
74%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1990 |
AUT
1 - 3
CHE
66%
22%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1990 |
AUT
2 - 1
USA
74%
18%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1990 |
AUT
0 - 1
CSK
52%
26%
22%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1990 |
ITA
1 - 0
AUT
62%
23%
15%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |