CHAN Qualifying Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 3-7
Yibuti vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yibuti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
DJI
2 - 1
BDI
9%
19%
72%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
BDI
2 - 1
DJI
81%
14%
5%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SSD
1 - 0
DJI
67%
20%
14%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
DJI
2 - 4
SSD
21%
23%
57%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
NER
7 - 2
DJI
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
SSD
0 - 5
ETH
12%
20%
69%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
ETH
0 - 0
SSD
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SSD
1 - 3
MLI
10%
20%
71%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
GMB
1 - 0
SSD
71%
19%
11%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SSD
1 - 0
DJI
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |