Yibuti vs Somalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yibuti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
ZMB
6 - 0
DJI
77%
15%
7%
|
34 | 77 | 43 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
KEN
2 - 0
DJI
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 64 | 29 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2009 |
ETH
5 - 0
DJI
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2009 |
DJI
1 - 5
KEN
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SDN
1 - 1
DJI
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
ZMB
6 - 0
SOM
80%
14%
6%
|
37 | 77 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2010 |
TZA
3 - 0
SOM
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BDI
2 - 0
SOM
60%
22%
17%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ERI
1 - 2
SOM
35%
25%
41%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SOM
0 - 1
RWA
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |