Yibuti vs Somalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yibuti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
YEM
4 - 1
DJI
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
DJI
2 - 4
COM
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 6 | 35 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
TZA
3 - 0
DJI
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2006 |
ETH
4 - 0
DJI
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
MWI
3 - 0
DJI
75%
16%
10%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
SOM
2 - 8
TKM
22%
22%
56%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
LBN
4 - 0
SOM
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2006 |
SDN
6 - 1
SOM
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
UGA
2 - 0
SOM
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2006 |
SDN
3 - 0
SOM
72%
17%
12%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -1 |