Yibuti vs Somalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yibuti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
EGY
4 - 0
DJI
97%
3%
1%
|
37 | 90 | 53 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
DJI
0 - 3
MWI
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
COD
5 - 1
DJI
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 73 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2008 |
DJI
0 - 6
COD
16%
21%
63%
|
38 | 73 | 35 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2008 |
DJI
0 - 4
EGY
3%
17%
80%
|
38 | 90 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
KEN
2 - 0
SOM
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
TZA
1 - 0
SOM
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2007 |
BDI
3 - 0
SOM
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
DJI
1 - 0
SOM
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
SOM
2 - 8
TKM
22%
22%
56%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | -1 |