Yibuti vs Somalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yibuti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2001 |
TZA
4 - 1
DJI
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2001 |
BDI
3 - 1
DJI
58%
20%
22%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
UGA
10 - 1
DJI
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2000 |
UGA
7 - 0
DJI
84%
12%
5%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
ETH
4 - 2
DJI
74%
18%
9%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
SDN
4 - 0
SOM
81%
13%
6%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2004 |
SOM
0 - 1
KEN
12%
19%
69%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
UGA
2 - 0
SOM
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
GHA
2 - 0
SOM
79%
15%
6%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
SOM
0 - 5
GHA
12%
20%
69%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | 0 |