Yibuti vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
68.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yibuti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
DZA
8 - 0
DJI
93%
6%
1%
|
32 | 83 | 51 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
LBN
1 - 0
DJI
80%
14%
6%
|
32 | 63 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
DJI
1 - 0
SOM
46%
21%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
CAB
1 - 1
DJI
6%
11%
83%
|
32 | 8 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
CMR
2 - 1
DJI
85%
12%
4%
|
32 | 82 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
NER
0 - 2
BFA
23%
27%
50%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
SDN
3 - 0
NER
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SDN
1 - 2
NER
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
GIN
2 - 1
NER
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
NER
0 - 1
COG
32%
26%
43%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |