Uruguay vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
URY
0 - 2
BRA
18%
21%
61%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
COL
0 - 3
URY
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
ECU
4 - 2
URY
31%
25%
44%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
URY
2 - 1
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
ARG
2 - 2
URY
62%
21%
18%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
PRY
2 - 2
BOL
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
ARG
1 - 1
PRY
84%
12%
5%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
VEN
0 - 1
PRY
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
PRY
2 - 2
PER
39%
27%
35%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
SAU
0 - 0
PRY
34%
28%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |