Uruguay vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 3
URY
45%
27%
29%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2009 |
URY
1 - 1
CRI
69%
18%
13%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CRI
0 - 1
URY
25%
23%
52%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
URY
0 - 1
ARG
29%
26%
44%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ECU
1 - 2
URY
36%
27%
37%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ROU
0 - 2
ISR
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 0
ISR
58%
23%
19%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ISR
3 - 1
MDA
76%
16%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
ISR
7 - 0
LUX
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 37 | 52 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ISR
0 - 1
LVA
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |