Uruguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
URY
4 - 2
BOL
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
PER
1 - 1
URY
26%
25%
49%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
URY
0 - 0
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
URY
1 - 0
PRY
70%
19%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
BOL
0 - 2
URY
12%
18%
70%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ECU
0 - 0
CHL
45%
24%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ECU
2 - 0
PRY
62%
21%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ARG
3 - 0
ECU
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECU
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
ECU
2 - 2
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |