Uruguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
URY
1 - 0
ECU
63%
20%
17%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
URY
4 - 2
BOL
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
PER
1 - 1
URY
26%
25%
49%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
URY
0 - 0
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
URY
1 - 0
PRY
70%
19%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
COL
3 - 1
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
PRY
1 - 1
COL
22%
26%
53%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 1
COL
9%
21%
71%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
COL
3 - 2
PER
57%
24%
19%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 1
COL
63%
21%
17%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |