Ukraine vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
UKR
0 - 1
POL
36%
25%
39%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
UKR
0 - 2
NIR
68%
21%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
DEU
2 - 0
UKR
77%
15%
9%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 3
UKR
19%
26%
55%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ROU
3 - 4
UKR
45%
27%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
FRA
5 - 2
ISL
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2016 |
ENG
1 - 2
ISL
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
ISL
2 - 1
AUT
22%
22%
57%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
ISL
1 - 1
HUN
24%
23%
53%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
PRT
1 - 1
ISL
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | +1 |