Ukraine vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
68.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
UKR
1 - 2
DEU
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
FRA
7 - 1
UKR
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
ESP
4 - 0
UKR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
UKR
2 - 1
CHE
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SRB
2 - 2
UKR
40%
26%
34%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ESP
1 - 0
CHE
82%
12%
6%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
PRT
0 - 0
ESP
32%
24%
44%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
ESP
4 - 0
UKR
84%
11%
5%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
DEU
1 - 1
ESP
43%
23%
35%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
ESP
5 - 0
ROU
82%
12%
6%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |