UEFA Nations League Liga C. Jor. 5

Turkey vs Luxembourg analysis

Turkey Luxembourg
86 ELO 56
3.4% Tilt 4.6%
130º General ELO ranking 1960º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
79.3%
Turkey
14%
Draw
6.7%
Luxembourg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
Turkey
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.7%
Win probability
Luxembourg
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Turkey
Luxembourg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Turkey
Turkey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jun. 2022
TUR
Turkey
2 - 0
Lithuania
LTU
82%
13%
5%
86 53 33 0
11 Jun. 2022
LUX
Luxembourg
0 - 2
Turkey
TUR
13%
22%
65%
86 56 30 0
07 Jun. 2022
LTU
Lithuania
0 - 6
Turkey
TUR
12%
22%
65%
86 55 31 0
04 Jun. 2022
TUR
Turkey
4 - 0
Faroe Islands
FRO
84%
12%
4%
86 47 39 0
29 Mar. 2022
TUR
Turkey
2 - 3
Italy
ITA
22%
26%
53%
86 92 6 0

Matches

Luxembourg
Luxembourg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jun. 2022
LUX
Luxembourg
2 - 2
Faroe Islands
FRO
62%
21%
17%
56 48 8 0
11 Jun. 2022
LUX
Luxembourg
0 - 2
Turkey
TUR
13%
22%
65%
56 86 30 0
07 Jun. 2022
FRO
Faroe Islands
0 - 1
Luxembourg
LUX
26%
23%
51%
56 47 9 0
04 Jun. 2022
LTU
Lithuania
0 - 2
Luxembourg
LUX
48%
24%
28%
54 56 2 +2
29 Mar. 2022
BIH
Bosnia
1 - 0
Luxembourg
LUX
80%
14%
6%
54 81 27 0
X