UEFA Nations League Liga C. Jor. 4

Turkey vs Lithuania analysis

Turkey Lithuania
86 ELO 53
1.7% Tilt 4.6%
130º General ELO ranking 3024º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
81.8%
Turkey
12.9%
Draw
5.2%
Lithuania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
Turkey
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.2%
Win probability
Lithuania
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Turkey
Lithuania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Turkey
Turkey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2022
LUX
Luxembourg
0 - 2
Turkey
TUR
13%
22%
65%
86 56 30 0
07 Jun. 2022
LTU
Lithuania
0 - 6
Turkey
TUR
12%
22%
65%
86 55 31 0
04 Jun. 2022
TUR
Turkey
4 - 0
Faroe Islands
FRO
84%
12%
4%
86 47 39 0
29 Mar. 2022
TUR
Turkey
2 - 3
Italy
ITA
22%
26%
53%
86 92 6 0
24 Mar. 2022
PRT
Portugal
3 - 1
Turkey
TUR
72%
18%
11%
86 92 6 0

Matches

Lithuania
Lithuania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2022
FRO
Faroe Islands
2 - 1
Lithuania
LTU
31%
25%
44%
54 47 7 0
07 Jun. 2022
LTU
Lithuania
0 - 6
Turkey
TUR
12%
22%
65%
55 86 31 -1
04 Jun. 2022
LTU
Lithuania
0 - 2
Luxembourg
LUX
48%
24%
28%
56 54 2 -1
29 Mar. 2022
IRL
Ireland
1 - 0
Lithuania
LTU
74%
18%
8%
56 85 29 0
25 Mar. 2022
SMR
San Marino
1 - 2
Lithuania
LTU
13%
20%
67%
56 17 39 0
X