Turkey vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
TUR
0 - 3
ITA
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
TUR
2 - 0
MDA
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 52 | 35 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
TUR
0 - 0
GUI
76%
16%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
TUR
2 - 1
AZE
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
TUR
3 - 3
LVA
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 1
SUI
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
WAL
0 - 0
ALB
67%
21%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
FRA
3 - 0
WAL
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 0
CZE
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 0
MEX
14%
22%
64%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |