Tunisia vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
GNQ
1 - 0
TUN
15%
24%
61%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MRT
0 - 0
TUN
14%
23%
63%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
TUN
3 - 0
MRT
76%
17%
7%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
ZMB
0 - 2
TUN
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
TUN
3 - 0
GNQ
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ZMB
4 - 0
MRT
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ZMB
1 - 1
GNQ
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
GNQ
2 - 0
ZMB
19%
25%
57%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
ZMB
0 - 2
TUN
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MRT
1 - 2
ZMB
22%
26%
53%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |