World Cup Grupo D. Jor. 3

Tunisia vs France analysis

Tunisia France
83 ELO 94
-11.2% Tilt -11.1%
212º General ELO ranking 15º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
8.9%
Tunisia
18.9%
Draw
72.1%
France

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
Tunisia
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
72.1%
Win probability
France
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tunisia
+6%
-1%
France

ELO progression

Tunisia
France
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tunisia
Tunisia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2022
TUN
Tunisia
0 - 1
Australia
AUS
27%
25%
49%
83 87 4 0
22 Nov. 2022
DNK
Denmark
0 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
75%
17%
9%
83 91 8 0
27 Sep. 2022
BRA
Brazil
5 - 1
Tunisia
TUN
87%
10%
3%
83 98 15 0
22 Sep. 2022
TUN
Tunisia
1 - 0
Comoros
COM
87%
11%
3%
83 48 35 0
14 Jun. 2022
JPN
Japan
0 - 3
Tunisia
TUN
73%
17%
10%
83 88 5 0

Matches

France
France
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2022
FRA
France
2 - 1
Denmark
DNK
64%
20%
16%
94 90 4 0
22 Nov. 2022
FRA
France
4 - 1
Australia
AUS
74%
16%
10%
94 87 7 0
25 Sep. 2022
DNK
Denmark
2 - 0
France
FRA
26%
25%
49%
94 90 4 0
22 Sep. 2022
FRA
France
2 - 0
Austria
AUT
78%
14%
8%
94 85 9 0
13 Jun. 2022
FRA
France
0 - 1
Croatia
HRV
71%
17%
12%
94 89 5 0
X