Tunisia vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
MWI
2 - 2
TUN
21%
28%
51%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
55%
26%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
TUN
0 - 2
ZAF
52%
26%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
GIN
2 - 1
TUN
28%
29%
43%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
TUN
4 - 1
BWA
90%
8%
2%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
MWI
2 - 1
ZWE
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
MWI
2 - 2
TUN
21%
28%
51%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
KEN
3 - 2
MWI
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
MWI
1 - 1
SWZ
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2004 |
MWI
1 - 2
SWZ
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |