Togo vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1972 |
CMR
2 - 0
TGO
77%
13%
10%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1972 |
MLI
3 - 3
TGO
73%
15%
12%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
BFA
1 - 2
TGO
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1971 |
TGO
1 - 0
BFA
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
TGO
3 - 0
SEN
45%
22%
33%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1972 |
MLI
1 - 1
KEN
71%
16%
13%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1972 |
CMR
2 - 1
KEN
75%
14%
11%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1972 |
LVA
1 - 0
KEN
70%
16%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
KEN
1 - 0
ZMB
65%
17%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
KEN
1 - 1
TZA
57%
19%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |