Togo vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
45.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
BFA
1 - 0
TGO
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
GNQ
2 - 2
TGO
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CIV
2 - 1
TGO
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NER
3 - 1
TGO
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TGO
1 - 0
NER
60%
22%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
BFA
1 - 0
TGO
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BFA
2 - 1
CIV
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
BFA
2 - 1
COM
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
COD
0 - 1
BFA
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BFA
0 - 0
CIV
24%
25%
51%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |