Sweden vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MLT
0 - 4
SWE
11%
20%
69%
|
89 | 46 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SWE
1 - 1
NOR
61%
22%
18%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
FRO
0 - 4
SWE
12%
22%
66%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
ESP
3 - 0
SWE
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
SWE
3 - 0
MLT
85%
12%
3%
|
88 | 46 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
ESP
8%
17%
75%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ESP
4 - 0
FRO
89%
8%
3%
|
96 | 48 | 48 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
ROU
1 - 2
ESP
14%
21%
64%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
ESP
3 - 0
SWE
80%
13%
7%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
FRO
1 - 4
ESP
3%
12%
85%
|
95 | 49 | 46 | 0 |