Sweden vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
SWE
0 - 1
DNK
58%
25%
17%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1990 |
NOR
1 - 2
SWE
28%
29%
44%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1990 |
SWE
1 - 2
CRI
67%
21%
12%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1990 |
SWE
1 - 2
SCT
59%
24%
17%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1990 |
BRA
2 - 1
SWE
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1990 |
CHE
2 - 0
BGR
51%
27%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1990 |
BRA
2 - 1
BGR
83%
12%
4%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
GRC
1 - 0
BGR
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1989 |
BGR
4 - 0
GRC
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1989 |
ITA
4 - 0
BGR
76%
17%
7%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |