Sudan vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
STP
0 - 2
SDN
12%
19%
70%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
SDN
1 - 0
GHA
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
GHA
2 - 0
SDN
80%
15%
6%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
TGO
1 - 1
SDN
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
TUN
3 - 0
SDN
78%
16%
6%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
ZAF
1 - 1
GHA
37%
29%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
STP
2 - 4
ZAF
6%
15%
79%
|
79 | 38 | 41 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
ZAF
2 - 0
STP
86%
11%
3%
|
79 | 38 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ZAF
1 - 2
ZMB
53%
27%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
ZAF
1 - 1
NAM
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |