Sudan vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
SDN
65%
23%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
SDN
1 - 3
GHA
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GHA
4 - 0
SDN
76%
17%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ETH
2 - 0
SDN
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SDN
5 - 3
ETH
53%
23%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
LSO
1 - 2
RSA
6%
17%
77%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
ZIM
2 - 1
LSO
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
ANG
1 - 1
LSO
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
LSO
2 - 0
SWZ
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
LSO
3 - 3
BOT
16%
26%
58%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |