South Sudan vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
67.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
SSD
0 - 1
COG
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
COG
1 - 2
SSD
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SSD
3 - 2
DJI
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
DJI
1 - 4
SSD
20%
23%
57%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
SSD
0 - 5
ETH
12%
20%
69%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
GMB
1 - 0
MLI
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
MLI
2 - 0
GMB
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GNB
0 - 0
GMB
22%
22%
56%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
GNB
1 - 0
GMB
22%
22%
56%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
GMB
1 - 0
GNB
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |