South Africa vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
50.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
ZAF
0 - 1
USA
27%
28%
45%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SLE
0 - 0
ZAF
18%
25%
57%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
ZAF
2 - 0
NER
86%
11%
4%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
ZAF
1 - 0
GHA
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2010 |
FRA
1 - 2
ZAF
85%
12%
3%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
BWA
1 - 2
SWE
12%
25%
62%
|
93 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
SWE
0 - 0
DEU
25%
24%
50%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
NLD
4 - 1
SWE
70%
19%
11%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
SWE
6 - 0
SMR
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 37 | 55 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
SWE
2 - 0
HUN
64%
21%
15%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | +1 |