CAF Qualifying Grupo K. Jor. 5

South Africa vs Morocco analysis

South Africa Morocco
79 ELO 88
-14.1% Tilt -0.6%
444º General ELO ranking 92º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
20.1%
South Africa
25.8%
Draw
54.2%
Morocco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
South Africa
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
54.2%
Win probability
Morocco
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
South Africa
-4%
-4%
Morocco

ELO progression

South Africa
Morocco
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

South Africa
South Africa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2023
LBR
Liberia
1 - 2
South Africa
ZAF
10%
19%
71%
78 54 24 0
24 Mar. 2023
ZAF
South Africa
2 - 2
Liberia
LBR
75%
18%
8%
79 53 26 -1
20 Nov. 2022
ZAF
South Africa
1 - 1
Angola
AGO
58%
25%
18%
79 70 9 0
17 Nov. 2022
ZAF
South Africa
2 - 1
Mozambique
MOZ
71%
19%
10%
79 58 21 0
27 Sep. 2022
ZAF
South Africa
1 - 0
Botsuana
BWA
72%
19%
9%
78 60 18 +1

Matches

Morocco
Morocco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jun. 2023
MAR
Morocco
0 - 0
Cape Verde
CPV
80%
15%
6%
88 67 21 0
28 Mar. 2023
MAR
Morocco
0 - 0
Peru
PER
49%
25%
26%
88 88 0 0
25 Mar. 2023
MAR
Morocco
2 - 1
Brazil
BRA
8%
17%
76%
87 98 11 +1
23 Jan. 2023
GHA
Ghana
3 - 0
Morocco
MAR
22%
25%
54%
88 81 7 -1
19 Jan. 2023
MAR
Morocco
0 - 3
Madagascar
MDG
85%
11%
4%
89 60 29 -1
X