South Africa vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ZAF
0 - 2
NGA
31%
29%
40%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
LSO
1 - 2
ZAF
6%
17%
77%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
ZAF
0 - 0
ZMB
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
ZAF
2 - 1
NAM
70%
20%
10%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
ETH
2 - 1
ZAF
18%
25%
58%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
BFA
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
COG
0 - 1
BFA
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
NER
0 - 1
BFA
29%
27%
45%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
DZA
2 - 0
BFA
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BFA
4 - 0
NER
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |