South Africa vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ZAF
1 - 0
SDN
72%
20%
8%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
GHA
2 - 0
ZAF
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ZAF
2 - 1
MLI
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
ZAF
0 - 3
LSO
75%
18%
7%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LSO
3 - 2
ZAF
8%
17%
75%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
GIN
2 - 0
NAM
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 1
TCD
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 0
MDG
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MDG
1 - 0
NAM
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 0
ERI
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | +1 |