WC Qual. Asia 1ª Ronda. Final
Global 3-1
Sri Lanka vs Macao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 0
LKA
43%
21%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
LAO
2 - 2
LKA
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2019 |
LAO
2 - 1
LKA
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
LKA
1 - 4
MYS
21%
23%
56%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
BGD
0 - 1
LKA
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Macao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 0
LKA
43%
21%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
MNP
1 - 1
MAC
5%
13%
83%
|
24 | 5 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 0
GUM
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MNG
4 - 1
MAC
48%
23%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
MMR
1 - 0
MAC
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |