Sri Lanka vs Bangladesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
LKA
1 - 3
TJK
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
MMR
4 - 0
LKA
64%
19%
16%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
MDV
5 - 1
LKA
67%
18%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
BGD
2 - 1
LKA
37%
26%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
LKA
6 - 0
BTN
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
BGD
1 - 2
MMR
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
TJK
1 - 2
BGD
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
BGD
2 - 1
LKA
37%
26%
38%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
BGD
0 - 0
PAK
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
BGD
4 - 1
BTN
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |