EC Qualifying Grupo B. Jor. 10

Serbia vs Ukraine analysis

Serbia Ukraine
85 ELO 89
10.4% Tilt -15.3%
122º General ELO ranking 102º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.3%
Serbia
25.8%
Draw
33.9%
Ukraine

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
Serbia
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.9%
Win probability
Ukraine
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Serbia
+7%
+4%
Ukraine

ELO progression

Serbia
Ukraine
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Serbia
Serbia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2019
SRB
Serbia
3 - 2
Luxembourg
LUX
87%
10%
3%
85 52 33 0
14 Oct. 2019
LTU
Lithuania
1 - 2
Serbia
SRB
17%
25%
58%
85 57 28 0
10 Oct. 2019
SRB
Serbia
1 - 0
Paraguay
PRY
53%
24%
23%
85 84 1 0
10 Sep. 2019
LUX
Luxembourg
1 - 3
Serbia
SRB
14%
25%
62%
84 52 32 +1
07 Sep. 2019
SRB
Serbia
2 - 4
Portugal
PRT
26%
26%
49%
85 92 7 -1

Matches

Ukraine
Ukraine
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2019
UKR
Ukraine
1 - 0
Estonia
EST
75%
18%
8%
89 69 20 0
14 Oct. 2019
UKR
Ukraine
2 - 1
Portugal
PRT
24%
26%
51%
88 92 4 +1
11 Oct. 2019
UKR
Ukraine
2 - 0
Lithuania
LTU
75%
18%
8%
88 57 31 0
10 Sep. 2019
UKR
Ukraine
2 - 2
Nigeria
NGA
54%
26%
20%
88 85 3 0
07 Sep. 2019
LTU
Lithuania
0 - 3
Ukraine
UKR
13%
23%
64%
88 57 31 0
X