WC Qual. Europe Grupo A. Jor. 5

Serbia vs Luxembourg analysis

Serbia Luxembourg
85 ELO 54
9.3% Tilt -14.4%
122º General ELO ranking 1961º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
81.8%
Serbia
12.6%
Draw
5.6%
Luxembourg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
Serbia
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.6%
Win probability
Luxembourg
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Serbia
+6%
+49%
Luxembourg

ELO progression

Serbia
Luxembourg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Serbia
Serbia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2021
QAT
Catar
0 - 4
Serbia
SRB
46%
26%
28%
85 84 1 0
11 Jun. 2021
JPN
Japan
1 - 0
Serbia
SRB
65%
20%
15%
85 88 3 0
07 Jun. 2021
SRB
Serbia
1 - 1
Jamaica
JAM
69%
18%
13%
85 78 7 0
30 Mar. 2021
AZE
Azerbaijan
1 - 2
Serbia
SRB
14%
26%
60%
85 60 25 0
27 Mar. 2021
SRB
Serbia
2 - 2
Portugal
PRT
16%
22%
62%
85 92 7 0

Matches

Luxembourg
Luxembourg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2021
LUX
Luxembourg
2 - 1
Azerbaijan
AZE
35%
25%
40%
54 59 5 0
06 Jun. 2021
LUX
Luxembourg
0 - 1
Scotland
SCT
13%
21%
66%
54 84 30 0
02 Jun. 2021
NOR
Norway
1 - 0
Luxembourg
LUX
80%
15%
5%
54 84 30 0
30 Mar. 2021
LUX
Luxembourg
1 - 3
Portugal
PRT
6%
13%
81%
54 92 38 0
27 Mar. 2021
IRL
Ireland
0 - 1
Luxembourg
LUX
78%
16%
6%
53 85 32 +1
X