Serbia vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SCT
0 - 0
SRB
57%
25%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
SRB
0 - 0
IRL
26%
28%
46%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
SWE
2 - 1
SRB
75%
17%
9%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 0
SRB
74%
18%
8%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 0
SRB
86%
11%
3%
|
85 | 99 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
WLS
0 - 2
BEL
31%
27%
42%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
WLS
0 - 2
BIH
53%
24%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
WLS
0 - 2
MEX
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
WLS
0 - 1
CRI
47%
26%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
WLS
4 - 1
NOR
27%
27%
46%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | +1 |