Serbia vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
MDA
0 - 3
SRB
18%
28%
55%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
QAT
3 - 0
SRB
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
SRB
2 - 2
IRL
39%
28%
33%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SRB
1 - 1
RUS
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
SRB
3 - 1
ISR
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
AUT
2 - 2
WLS
53%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
GEO
1 - 2
AUT
20%
23%
57%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
ISL
2 - 1
AUT
22%
22%
57%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
PRT
0 - 0
AUT
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
AUT
0 - 2
HUN
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |