Serbia vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LUX
0 - 1
SRB
16%
26%
58%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
IRL
1 - 1
SRB
38%
28%
34%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SRB
4 - 1
LUX
82%
13%
6%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
QAT
0 - 4
SRB
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
JPN
1 - 0
SRB
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AZE
0 - 3
IRL
15%
27%
57%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
AZE
0 - 3
PRT
1%
12%
87%
|
59 | 92 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
IRL
1 - 1
AZE
71%
20%
9%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
LUX
2 - 1
AZE
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MDA
1 - 0
AZE
23%
25%
53%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |