Santa Amalia vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAM
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 1
SAM
21%
22%
57%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 2
BAD
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
TAL
1 - 1
SAM
29%
23%
48%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 0
CPO
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
HER
3 - 0
CDC
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
HER
4 - 0
UCL
41%
24%
36%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CFJ
1 - 0
HER
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
GEV
57%
23%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 2
HER
42%
24%
34%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |