Saint Martin vs Guadeloupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
80.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
MAF
0 - 8
BMU
3%
12%
86%
|
19 | 57 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
PRI
9 - 0
MAF
91%
7%
2%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
HTI
7 - 0
MAF
90%
8%
1%
|
20 | 73 | 53 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
AIA
2 - 1
MAF
3%
11%
86%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
PRI
2 - 0
MAF
91%
7%
2%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
GLP
2 - 1
DMA
81%
14%
5%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
MTQ
2 - 0
GLP
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
SUR
3 - 2
GLP
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
GLP
0 - 0
SUR
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
GLP
0 - 1
CUW
81%
13%
5%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |