San Marino vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.5%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
<0%
0
18.2%
77.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
21.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
27.8%
0-2
20.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
24.3%
0-3
13%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.2%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
SMR
1 - 3
ROU
4%
16%
80%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1990 |
ROU
6 - 0
SMR
92%
6%
2%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
SMR
0 - 4
CHE
13%
22%
66%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
SCT
1 - 1
BGR
61%
25%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1991 |
SCT
0 - 1
SUN
35%
30%
35%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
BGR
1 - 1
SCT
44%
28%
28%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
SCT
2 - 1
CHE
60%
25%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1990 |
SCT
2 - 1
ROU
47%
28%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |