Russia vs Bosnia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
TJK
0 - 0
RUS
6%
18%
76%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
KGZ
1 - 2
RUS
11%
21%
68%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
HRV
1 - 0
RUS
55%
23%
23%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
RUS
6 - 0
CYP
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
SVN
1 - 2
RUS
22%
25%
54%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
ROU
4 - 1
BIH
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BIH
1 - 0
MNE
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
BIH
3 - 2
FIN
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
MNE
1 - 1
BIH
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
BIH
1 - 0
ROU
36%
26%
39%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |