Romania vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
73.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
ROU
3 - 2
MKD
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
NIR
1 - 1
ROU
22%
23%
54%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ROU
3 - 0
NOR
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
ROU
5 - 3
BLR
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
ROU
0 - 1
AUT
45%
25%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
DEU
3 - 0
ISL
90%
7%
3%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ESP
6 - 0
DEU
49%
22%
30%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
DEU
3 - 1
UKR
81%
12%
7%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
DEU
1 - 0
CZE
85%
10%
5%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
DEU
3 - 3
CHE
79%
13%
8%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |