CAF Qualifying Grupo L. Jor. 4

Rwanda vs Benin analysis

Rwanda Benin
58 ELO 64
-19.8% Tilt -22.6%
2142º General ELO ranking 1838º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27.7%
Rwanda
26%
Draw
46.3%
Benin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
Rwanda
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
46.3%
Win probability
Benin
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rwanda
+11%
-20%
Benin

ELO progression

Rwanda
Benin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rwanda
Rwanda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2023
BEN
Benin
1 - 1
Rwanda
RWA
56%
25%
20%
58 64 6 0
19 Mar. 2023
ETH
Ethiopia
1 - 0
Rwanda
RWA
53%
25%
23%
59 60 1 -1
19 Nov. 2022
SDN
Sudan
0 - 1
Rwanda
RWA
49%
25%
26%
58 58 0 +1
17 Nov. 2022
RWA
Rwanda
0 - 0
Sudan
SDN
42%
28%
31%
58 58 0 0
23 Sep. 2022
GNQ
Equatorial Guinea
0 - 0
Rwanda
RWA
51%
26%
23%
58 61 3 0

Matches

Benin
Benin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2023
BEN
Benin
1 - 1
Rwanda
RWA
56%
25%
20%
64 58 6 0
27 Sep. 2022
MDG
Madagascar
3 - 1
Benin
BEN
27%
25%
48%
65 57 8 -1
30 Jul. 2022
BEN
Benin
0 - 1
Ghana
GHA
26%
27%
47%
65 80 15 0
24 Jul. 2022
GHA
Ghana
3 - 0
Benin
BEN
65%
21%
14%
66 80 14 -1
08 Jun. 2022
BEN
Benin
0 - 1
Mozambique
MOZ
63%
21%
16%
67 55 12 -1
X