Rwanda vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
54.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UGA
1 - 0
RWA
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 1
UGA
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
RWA
1 - 1
KEN
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
MLI
1 - 0
RWA
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
CAF
0 - 5
RWA
9%
17%
75%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
KEN
0 - 1
MLI
17%
25%
58%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
MLI
5 - 0
KEN
70%
20%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
UGA
0 - 0
MLI
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
MLI
1 - 0
RWA
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
TUN
1 - 0
MLI
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |