CHAN Qualifying Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 0-1
Rwanda vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ETH
0 - 0
RWA
54%
24%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
RWA
0 - 1
SEN
15%
26%
59%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
MOZ
1 - 1
RWA
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2022 |
RWA
0 - 2
GIN
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
RWA
0 - 3
GIN
22%
25%
54%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ETH
0 - 0
RWA
54%
24%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
SSD
0 - 5
ETH
12%
20%
69%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
ETH
0 - 0
SSD
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
ETH
2 - 0
EGY
16%
24%
60%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MWI
2 - 1
ETH
29%
26%
46%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |