Rwanda vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
RWA
3 - 0
SOM
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
ETH
5 - 3
RWA
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2000 |
UGA
3 - 1
RWA
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
ERI
1 - 1
RWA
18%
22%
60%
|
65 | 10 | 55 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2000 |
RWA
2 - 1
KEN
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2001 |
KEN
2 - 1
ERI
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 70 | 59 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
ERI
1 - 1
RWA
18%
22%
60%
|
10 | 65 | 55 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2000 |
KEN
0 - 0
ERI
81%
13%
7%
|
9 | 68 | 59 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
RWA
1 - 0
ERI
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 62 | 53 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
ERI
0 - 2
SEN
9%
21%
71%
|
9 | 72 | 63 | 0 |